A Groundbreaking Trend: The "Moore’s Law" for AI Capabilities

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has become one of the most transformative technologies of the 21st century, driving innovation across industries and reshaping how humans interact with machines. Recent research from METR (Measuring AI Ability to Complete Long Tasks) has revealed a groundbreaking trend in AI capabilities: the length of tasks that AI agents can complete autonomously has doubled approximately every seven months since 2019. This trend, often referred to as a "Moore's Law" for AI, highlights the rapid and exponential growth in AI's ability to handle increasingly complex and time-consuming tasks. Let's delve into the implications of this trend, its underlying factors, and its potential impact on industries, the workforce, and society at large.